- •„For me, it is not borders that matter“
- •Part 2
- •„We do not claim the Role of a Superpower“
- •THERE’S LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL
- •FOR RUSSIA’S ECONOMY
- •(By Vladimir Kozlov)
- •Oil Prices and Sanctions
- •Inevitable Contraction*
- •Hardest Blow**
- •Foreign Companies' Exodus*
- •Rare Examples
- •Import Substitution
- •Positive Developments
- •(from The Moscow Times)
- •4 Read and translate the text from English into Russian:
- •SUCCESS STORY OF ALIBABA.COM
- •THE INSPIRING RAGS TO RICHES STORY OF MARIA DAS GRACAS SILVA FOSTER
- •7 Read and translate the text from English into Russian:
- •STEVE JOBS
- •Synopsis*
- •Early Life
- •Apple Computer
- •Departure from Company
- •Reinventing Apple
- •Pancreatic Cancer
- •Later Innovations
- •Personal Life
- •Death
- •Books and Biopics*
- •ИНТЕРВЬЮ НЕМЕЦКОМУ ИЗДАНИЮ «BILD»
- •(Запись интервью состоялась 5 января 2016 года в Сочи)
- •Часть 2
- •ТРУДНОСТИ ПЕРЕВОДА ИНТЕРВЬЮ ПУТИНА
- •WORK WITH THE TEXT “A CONVERSATION WITH LEE KUAN YEW” by Fareed Zakaria. Use practical recommendations.
- •21 Make an interview between Russian bankers, financial analysts and correspondents of some economic journal according to the following plan:
- •22 Make interviews with Maria das Gracas Silva Foster. Pretend you are:
- •27 Make presentations of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Member States:
- •29 Expand the following brief information and prepare papers* for your version of the Forum:
- •WORK WITH THE TEXT “SUCCESS STORY OF ALIBABA.COM” by Drona Parajuli
- •30 Mind the following rules for preparing your presentation:
- •o Be serious and avoid idioms, jokes and anecdotes.
- •o The explicit structure can’t be clear.
- •WORK WITH THE TEXT STEVE JOBS
- •31 Look through the programs of the seminars, add some items which are important to discuss and propose topics for each seminar:
- •Program A
- •o Apple's revolutionary products pioneered under Jobs’ guidance
- •o The period when Steve Jobs was told to be smart but directionless was a way to great experiments and inventions
- •o An intelligent and innovative thinker
- •o It is very important to have a reliable partner for future business
- •o NeXT, Inc., Pixar Animation Studios and more popular products
- •Program 2
- •o Trials and triumphs
- •o Steve Jobs’ personal life
- •o Pancreatic cancer and death
- •32 Organize a seminar according to one of the proposed programs and take part in the discussion.
- •accessible – доступный
- •domestic demand – требование внутреннего рынка
- •phase out – ликвидировать, снять
- •put back on track – возвратить, вернуть на свое место, путь, курс
- •rotating presidency – чередующееся председательство (президентство)
"It will require cheaper credit and the rebound of domestic demand*, which will also take time," he explained.
"If the government can maintain conditions that are beneficial for domestic manufacturers, the situation might improve in the long run," agreed Dashkevich. "A complete import substitution in agriculture and the meat and dairy industries is impossible to achieve in one year. Probably, in three to five years, Russian producers will be able to strengthen their positions considerably."
"Most of products that used to be exported from Ukraine, including components for the defense industry, pipes and come food items, were substituted relatively effectively," added Dashkevich.
Positive Developments
While the Russian economy's prospects looked grim at the beginning of 2015, the situation stabilized somewhat in the year's first months and later began to improve.
The ruble, after losing nearly half of its value against the dollar over 2014, partially rebounded, and interest rates came down from their post-sanctions peak and are projected to go down further.
At the same time, exports — boosted by the still weak ruble — were up more than 50 percent year-on-year in the first months of 2015, which, to some degree, compensated for the decline in domestic consumption**.
Analysts say that, most likely, the crisis has already hit bottom, and they are pointing to positive developments.
"The main positive development is that, this year, despite the economic downturn, the economy has remained sustainable, which will lead to an overall stabilization next year," said Kuzmin, adding that, in 2016, small growth can be expected, along with a halved inflation rate, a cut in capital flight to a $60 billion figure, which is "normal" for Russia, and stability of the national currency.
Other experts are even more optimistic
"The economy has rather successfully adapted to new conditions caused by lower oil prices and problems with refinancing foreign debts," said Struchenevsky. "What is most important is that there is no longer a feeling of panic."
"The decline seems to be over," he went on to say. "Government finances are in order. The exchange rate has stabilized. The inflation rate and interest rates have begun to go down."
"Apparently, in the eternal contest of fear and greed, the latter is beginning to win,"
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